BTC vs SPY

Asymmetric Upside Dashboard

Upside Analysis

Distance from All-Time High

Where is the asymmetric opportunity?

BTC

Bitcoin

Crypto

Current Price

$71,000

updating…

All-Time High

$125,000

Distance

-43.2%

Upside to ATH

+76.1%

$71,000$125,000

SPY

S&P 500 ETF

Equity ETF

Current Price

$658.00

updating…

All-Time High

$700.00

Distance

-6.0%

Upside to ATH

+6.4%

$658.00$700.00

BTC offers 11.9× more upside to its all-time high (+76.1%) compared to SPY (+6.4%), a differential of +69.7%. Higher potential return comes with significantly higher volatility and risk.

Historical Performance

Price & Distance Charts

Performance

% return from start of period

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Distance from Peak

How far below the running high each asset trades

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Risk-Adjusted Analysis

Opportunity Score & Metrics

Opportunity Score

Upside to peak ÷ volatility — higher = better risk-adjusted opportunity

SOL
2.59
+233.0% upside90% vol
ETH
1.78
+133.4% upside75% vol
BTC
1.27
+76.1% upside60% vol
SPY
0.60
+9.1% upside15% vol
GOOGL
0.44
+12.4% upside28% vol
NVDA
0.30
+16.3% upside55% vol

Formula: score = upside_to_peak / volatility. Simplified metric — not financial advice.

AssetTypePricePeakDistanceUpside24hOpp. Score
BTC
Crypto$71,000$125,000-43.2%+76.1%0.0%
1.27
ETH
Crypto$2,119$4,946-57.2%+133.4%0.0%
1.78
SOL
Crypto$88.00$293.00-70.0%+233.0%0.0%
2.59
SPY
ETF$562.00$613.00-8.3%+9.1%0.0%
0.60
NVDA
Stock$178.00$207.00-14.0%+16.3%0.0%
0.30
GOOGL
Stock$306.00$344.00-11.0%+12.4%0.0%
0.44

Peak = ATH for crypto · 52-week high for stocks & ETFs · Opp. Score = upside ÷ volatility

Institutional Positions

Major BTC Holders

Major BTC Holders

Known institutional & corporate positions · Values update with live price

Total Tracked

1,795,567 BTC

Current Value

$127.49B

Value at ATH

$224.45B

HolderTypeBTC HeldCurrent ValueValue at ATHPotential Gain

BlackRock

iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT)

ETF570,000BTC$40.47B$71.25B+$30.78B

MicroStrategy

Michael Saylor

Corporate499,096BTC$35.44B$62.39B+$26.95B

Grayscale

GBTC & Mini BTC Trust

ETF215,000BTC$15.27B$26.88B+$11.61B

US Government

Seized assets (DOJ / IRS)

Govt198,109BTC$14.07B$24.76B+$10.70B

Fidelity

Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC)

ETF185,000BTC$13.13B$23.13B+$9.99B

Marathon Digital

MARA Holdings

Miner44,893BTC$3.19B$5.61B+$2.42B

ARK / 21Shares

ARKB Bitcoin ETF

ETF48,000BTC$3.41B$6.00B+$2.59B

Riot Platforms

Bitcoin Miner

Miner17,722BTC$1.26B$2.22B+$957.0M

Tesla

Elon Musk

Corporate9,720BTC$690.1M$1.22B+$524.9M

Block

Jack Dorsey

Corporate8,027BTC$569.9M$1.00B+$433.5M
Totals (tracked)1,795,567BTC$127.49B$224.45B+$96.96B

Holdings sourced from public filings, SEC disclosures & on-chain data · Approximate figures · Not financial advice

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